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Red120
1026012.3
453450.1
264233.8
Blue159
650251.1
572748.2
551122.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8713050100150200120159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+39
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +39
17Coral scored#23
61Coral points82
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
6Processor points24
16Net points16
22Algae points40
83Total teleop122
Reef
8L4#12
5L3#10
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
120Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#31
50.12.2
38.440.6
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
blue by 1.0
6502
#22
51.12.8
49.352.2
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
Second
2642
#35
33.82.2
28.831.0
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End0.3
blue by 14.4
5727
#15
48.22.8
43.546.4
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
Third
12.32.2
20.222.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End0.6
blue by 10.6
5511
#37
22.92.8
23.426.2
Auto7.4
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed