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Red89
672923.7
322928.7
873854.2
Blue147
929744.9
373740.5
663931.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191235010015020089147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+40
Endgame+54
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +33
12Coral scored#21
44Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#7
12Processor points6
20Net points28
32Algae points34
76Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#8
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
2Foul points6
89Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8738
#16
54.21.4
54.453.0
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
red by 9.3
9297
#12
44.91.9
37.639.5
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.5
Second
3229
#38
28.71.4
28.226.8
Auto4.4
Teleop22.4
End2.0
blue by 11.8
40.51.9
39.341.2
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End10.1
Third
6729
#30
23.71.4
25.824.3
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 7.5
6639
#29
31.31.9
36.138.0
Auto4.6
Teleop25.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned