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Qual 582025 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red82
373740.5
1026012.3
205949.6
Blue116
776351.0
382226.8
672923.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123955015020082116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+50
Endgame+40
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +39
6Coral scored#15
22Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
36Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points0
82Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#9
49.62.3
47.1→44.8
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
blue by 1.5
7763
#13
51.01.8
42.9→44.7
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Second
3737
#7
40.52.3
41.2→38.9
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End10.1
red by 13.7
3822
#27
26.81.8
22.3→24.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Third
10260
#40
12.32.3
22.4→20.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End0.6
blue by 11.4
6729
#30
23.71.8
24.3→26.1
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed