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Red172
650251.1
453450.1
153354.6
Blue141
264027.4
90068.4
873854.2
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139147100200172141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+11Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
20Coral scored#24
72Coral points85
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
18Processor points18
32Net points12
50Algae points30
122Total teleop115
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#10
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#33
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points0
172Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
54.61.8
46.348.1
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
blue by 13.8
900
#3
68.40.1
62.462.3
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
Second
6502
#22
51.11.8
52.254.0
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
blue by 3.1
8738
#16
54.20.1
53.052.9
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
Third
4534
#31
50.11.8
40.642.4
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
red by 22.7
2640
#34
27.40.1
27.026.9
Auto3.0
Teleop22.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed