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Red129
482827.4
650047.7
872736.9
Blue111
479558.8
264233.8
744319.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11210550150200129111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
85Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
129Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#18
47.71.4
40.842.2
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
blue by 11.1
4795
#26
58.80.5
54.555.1
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
Second
8727
#23
36.91.4
38.940.3
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End1.5
red by 3.1
2642
#35
33.80.5
31.031.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End0.3
Third
4828
#21
27.41.4
28.429.8
Auto5.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
red by 8.4
7443
#25
19.00.5
17.317.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed