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Red56
1058326.5
919826.2
1007728.9
Blue92
519023.3
482921.2
900843.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92102501502005692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+36
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points8
56Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.4
26.024.5
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End2.4
blue by 14.4
9008
#20
43.40.1
43.343.2
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0
Second
26.51.4
25.023.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
red by 3.2
5190
#24
23.30.1
19.519.4
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End2.4
Third
9198
#33
26.21.4
26.825.3
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.1
red by 4.9
4829
#36
21.20.1
22.822.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned