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Red125
382226.8
519023.3
650251.1
Blue112
842944.6
1058326.5
345928.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610180120140125112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points33
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +26
22Coral scored#16
80Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
98Total teleop72
Reef
11L4#10
4L3#4
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
125Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#22
51.11.3
54.055.3
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
red by 6.5
44.60.7
39.540.2
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End1.4
Second
3822
#27
26.81.3
24.125.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
blue by 1.9
3459
#14
28.80.7
29.330.0
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End6.5
Third
5190
#24
23.31.3
19.420.7
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End2.4
blue by 3.2
26.50.7
23.524.3
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed