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Red110
689438.6
264233.8
572748.2
Blue160
1007728.9
873854.2
350638.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130127100110120140150160170110160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+38
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave6
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points34
12Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +10
16Coral scored#22
56Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
94Total teleop104
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#9
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
110Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#15
48.20.8
49.148.3
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
blue by 6.0
8738
#16
54.22.9
52.955.8
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
Second
6894
#19
38.60.8
42.041.1
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
red by 0.5
38.12.9
39.041.9
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Third
2642
#35
33.80.8
31.630.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End0.3
red by 4.9
28.92.9
24.527.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned