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Red178
744319.0
903257.9
58755.6
Blue149
153354.6
929744.9
272434.0
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138136110120130150160170180178149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+39Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave0
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
20Coral scored#21
72Coral points77
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
18Processor points18
28Net points12
46Algae points30
118Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#10
9L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
178Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.92.8
54.156.9
Auto13.8
Teleop41.0
End3.2
red by 3.3
1533
#10
54.60.9
48.149.0
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
587
#4
55.62.8
54.657.4
Auto12.8
Teleop37.7
End5.1
red by 10.7
9297
#12
44.90.9
42.343.2
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.5
Third
7443
#25
19.02.8
17.820.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
blue by 15.0
2724
#17
34.00.9
35.536.5
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned