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Red103
322928.7
874631.8
900843.4
Blue166
672923.7
479558.8
453450.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313350150200250103166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+67
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +53
16Coral scored#24
59Coral points88
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
6Processor points18
16Net points28
22Algae points46
81Total teleop134
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#9
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#39
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
103Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#20
43.40.0
45.145.0
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0
blue by 15.5
4795
#26
58.82.8
57.960.6
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
Second
31.80.0
30.630.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End0.6
blue by 18.2
4534
#31
50.12.8
43.045.7
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
Third
3229
#38
28.70.0
27.927.8
Auto4.4
Teleop22.4
End2.0
red by 5.0
6729
#30
23.72.8
23.726.5
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed