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Red151
482921.2
90068.4
373740.5
Blue85
650251.1
482827.4
456139.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341329010011012014015016017015185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +53
22Coral scored#13
80Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
114Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#7
10L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
151Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
68.41.6
62.964.5
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
red by 17.3
6502
#22
51.12.8
55.352.5
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
Second
40.51.6
40.241.8
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End10.1
red by 0.7
4561
#11
39.82.8
40.938.1
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
Third
4829
#36
21.21.6
24.225.8
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
blue by 6.2
4828
#21
27.42.8
30.327.6
Auto5.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed