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Red150
929822.1
90068.4
689438.6
Blue52
872736.9
650251.1
482921.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132124608010014016018020015052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+86Teleop
+86Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +76
21Coral scored#9
77Coral points31
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
18Processor points0
20Net points8
38Algae points8
115Total teleop39
Reef
10L4#4
7L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
12Foul points0
150Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
68.40.7
64.565.2
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
red by 17.3
6502
#22
51.14.6
52.548.0
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
Second
6894
#19
38.60.7
41.141.9
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
red by 1.8
8727
#23
36.94.6
42.237.7
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End1.5
Third
9298
#28
22.10.7
21.322.1
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End2.3
red by 0.8
4829
#36
21.24.6
25.821.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed