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Red177
903257.9
456139.8
453450.1
Blue138
919826.2
153354.6
322928.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16111650100150200250177138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
21Coral scored#16
74Coral points56
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#7
24Processor points24
28Net points28
52Algae points52
126Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#7
8L3#6
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
177Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.91.2
56.958.1
Auto13.8
Teleop41.0
End3.2
red by 3.3
1533
#10
54.60.9
50.651.5
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
4534
#31
50.11.2
45.746.9
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
red by 21.3
3229
#38
28.70.9
27.828.7
Auto4.4
Teleop22.4
End2.0
Third
4561
#11
39.81.2
38.139.3
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
red by 13.6
9198
#33
26.20.9
25.326.2
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned