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Red70
744319.0
1007728.9
519023.3
Blue57
672923.7
264027.4
373740.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731150501001502007057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
52Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
70Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.1
29.028.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End2.4
blue by 11.6
40.52.8
41.839.0
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End10.1
Second
5190
#24
23.30.1
23.423.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End2.4
blue by 4.0
2640
#34
27.42.8
30.427.6
Auto3.0
Teleop22.1
End2.3
Third
7443
#25
19.00.1
19.119.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
blue by 4.7
6729
#30
23.72.8
26.523.7
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsMissed