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Red152
949679.0
900843.4
572748.2
Blue111
929744.9
1058326.5
874631.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1879650150200250152111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+27Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +12
23Coral scored#14
82Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
6Processor points12
20Net points32
26Algae points44
108Total teleop96
Reef
11L4#4
9L3#7
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
152Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.01.3
77.175.8
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
red by 34.1
9297
#12
44.90.7
43.844.6
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.5
Second
5727
#15
48.21.3
49.948.5
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
red by 16.4
31.80.7
30.631.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End0.6
Third
9008
#20
43.41.3
45.043.7
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0
red by 16.8
26.50.7
25.826.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed