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Red117
650047.7
345928.8
264233.8
Blue163
842944.6
205949.6
776351.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11715650100200250117163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave6
4Coral scored#9
20Coral points45
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
6Processor points6
20Net points20
26Algae points26
76Total teleop96
Reef
9L4#9
4L3#10
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
4Foul points0
117Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#18
47.70.3
45.946.3
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
blue by 3.3
7763
#13
51.01.5
49.250.7
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Second
2642
#35
33.80.3
33.533.8
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End0.3
blue by 15.8
49.61.5
48.449.9
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
Third
3459
#14
28.80.3
28.428.8
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End6.5
blue by 15.8
44.61.5
42.644.1
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned