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Red139
689438.6
874631.8
873854.2
Blue119
900843.4
572748.2
205949.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514650100200139119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+40Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points68
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
24Processor points6
12Net points12
36Algae points18
106Total teleop86
Reef
8L4#6
8L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
139Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8738
#16
54.20.3
54.154.4
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
red by 4.7
49.60.5
50.149.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
Second
6894
#19
38.60.3
38.438.8
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
blue by 9.6
5727
#15
48.20.5
48.748.2
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
Third
31.80.3
31.732.0
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End0.6
blue by 11.5
9008
#20
43.40.5
43.943.4
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0