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Red145
58755.6
903257.9
264027.4
Blue199
153354.6
650251.1
453450.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14515750100200250145199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+50
Endgame+48
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +36
21Coral scored#29
75Coral points105
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
99Total teleop135
Reef
7L4#12
11L3#12
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#43
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points6
145Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.1
57.857.9
Auto13.8
Teleop41.0
End3.2
red by 3.3
1533
#10
54.61.0
52.553.5
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
587
#4
55.60.1
55.555.6
Auto12.8
Teleop37.7
End5.1
red by 4.5
6502
#22
51.11.0
49.050.0
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
Third
2640
#34
27.40.1
27.327.4
Auto3.0
Teleop22.1
End2.3
blue by 22.7
4534
#31
50.11.0
48.048.9
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6