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Red220
949679.0
272434.0
90068.4
Blue146
842944.6
456139.8
479558.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196152100250220146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+68Teleop
+60Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
11Coral scored#5
54Coral points24
54Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +44
28Coral scored#22
100Coral points80
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
18Processor points6
28Net points16
46Algae points22
146Total teleop102
Reef
10L4#9
13L3#8
9L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +74
14Foul points0
220Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.5
77.177.6
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
red by 20.2
4795
#26
58.80.1
58.658.5
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
Second
900
#3
68.40.5
66.567.0
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
red by 23.9
44.60.1
44.344.2
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End1.4
Third
2724
#17
34.00.5
32.132.6
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
blue by 5.8
4561
#11
39.80.1
39.639.5
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8