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Red171
153354.6
650251.1
453450.1
Blue118
689438.6
874631.8
873854.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16212550100150200250171118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+45Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +31
26Coral scored#16
94Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
122Total teleop91
Reef
10L4#5
11L3#6
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
171Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
54.60.4
53.553.9
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
red by 0.4
8738
#16
54.20.2
54.454.2
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
Second
6502
#22
51.10.4
50.050.4
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
red by 12.5
6894
#19
38.60.2
38.838.6
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Third
4534
#31
50.10.4
48.949.3
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
red by 18.2
31.80.2
32.031.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End0.6