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Red35
322928.7
873842.4
99999.7
Blue12
482827.4
479562.2
99969.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951360502002503003504003512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
blue by 19.8
4795
#14
62.20.0
62.262.2
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
Second
3229
#13
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto4.4
Teleop22.4
End2.0
red by 1.3
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
Third
9999
#20
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Level
9996
#16
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto odds68%Auto odds
Coral
13%Coral odds13%Coral odds
Barge
16%Barge odds26%Barge odds