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Red19
482921.2
345929.4
99999.7
Blue57
650047.7
456133.4
99969.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721300501001502002503003504001957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.0
29.429.4
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
blue by 18.3
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
Second
4829
#11
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
blue by 12.1
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End7.6
Third
9999
#20
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Level
9996
#16
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto odds57%Auto odds
Coral
3%Coral odds11%Coral odds
Barge
31%Barge odds94%Barge odds