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Red25
481613.5
904216.1
99989.7
Blue42
1024813.9
345929.4
99959.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73724060801002542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 13.4
29.40.0
29.429.4
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
Second
4816
#12
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 0.3
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
9998
#21
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Level
9995
#15
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto odds33%Auto odds
Coral
3%Coral odds5%Coral odds
Barge
15%Barge odds45%Barge odds