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Red24
456133.4
873842.4
99989.7
Blue7
600423.8
322928.7
99949.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12079050100150200250300350247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
red by 13.6
3229
#13
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto4.4
Teleop22.4
End2.0
Second
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End7.6
red by 9.6
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Third
9998
#21
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Level
9994
#19
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto odds38%Auto odds
Coral
27%Coral odds4%Coral odds
Barge
67%Barge odds14%Barge odds