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Red128
600423.8
479562.2
99969.1
Blue144
903263.1
99989.1
650047.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118160050100200250300350400128144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.0
62.262.2
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
blue by 0.9
63.10.0
63.163.1
Auto13.3
Teleop44.7
End5.2
Second
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
blue by 24.0
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
Third
9996
#25
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Level
9998
#23
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.6