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Red114
903263.1
99989.1
650047.7
Blue63
456133.4
789024.5
842942.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16410805020025030035011463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.10.0
63.163.1
Auto13.3
Teleop44.7
End5.2
red by 21.0
8429
#24
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto12.2
Teleop26.6
End3.4
Second
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
red by 14.4
4561
#21
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End7.6
Third
9998
#23
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.6
blue by 15.5
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1