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Red107
903263.1
99989.1
650047.7
Blue110
600423.8
479562.2
99969.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160118050100200250300350107110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.10.0
63.163.1
Auto13.3
Teleop44.7
End5.2
red by 0.9
62.20.0
62.262.2
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
Second
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
red by 24.0
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Third
9998
#23
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Level
9996
#25
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.6