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Red97
205949.6
345929.4
1030221.6
Blue105
1024813.9
482827.4
482921.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1246605010015020097105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#12
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
red by 22.2
4828
#17
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
Second
3459
#11
29.40.0
29.429.4
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
red by 8.2
4829
#18
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
Third
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 7.8
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8