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Red67
382226.8
672923.7
904216.1
Blue107
456133.4
789024.5
842942.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7612405010015020025067107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
blue by 15.3
8429
#24
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto12.2
Teleop26.6
End3.4
Second
6729
#19
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 9.6
4561
#21
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End7.6
Third
9042
#10
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 8.5
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1