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Red133
456141.9
453440.5
820519.1
Blue54
551116.6
33368.0
205941.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1166705010015020013354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+61Teleop
+67Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points11
31Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +50
13Coral scored#5
48Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
76Total teleop26
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#1
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#9
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Penalties & totalRed +79
12Foul points0
133Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.5
41.141.6
Auto8.5
Teleop27.0
End6.4
red by 0.9
2059
#17
41.00.2
40.740.4
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Second
40.50.5
39.740.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.9
End3.0
red by 23.9
16.60.2
16.316.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
8205
#27
19.10.5
18.418.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End1.1
red by 11.1
3336
#28
8.00.3
7.77.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8