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Red36
482924.2
929728.6
874622.9
Blue77
551116.6
33368.0
205941.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92700501503677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +38
4Coral scored#12
15Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
19Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#2
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points6
36Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9297
#14
28.61.1
29.728.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
blue by 12.4
2059
#17
41.00.0
40.740.7
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Second
4829
#16
24.21.1
25.324.2
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
red by 7.6
16.60.0
16.316.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
8746
#11
22.91.1
24.022.9
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 14.9
3336
#28
8.00.0
7.77.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8