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Red0
76716.0
482829.5
264226.8
Blue80
551116.6
33368.0
205941.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6772020406080100120080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +19
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
67Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +80
-87Foul points6
0Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4828
#15DQ
29.50.3
29.229.5
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
blue by 11.5
2059
#17
41.00.1
40.740.7
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Second
2642
#8DQ
26.80.3
26.626.8
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End1.0
red by 10.2
16.60.1
16.416.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
7671
#29DQ
6.00.3
5.86.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 2.0
3336
#28
8.00.1
7.87.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8