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Red30
516021.7
33368.0
600423.8
Blue60
929618.4
76716.0
900834.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6565304050607080901003060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+32
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
1Coral points0
7Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +37
4Coral scored#10
15Coral points36
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#4
0Processor points0
0Net points16
0Algae points16
15Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points0
30Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#10
23.82.4
24.422.0
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
blue by 11.1
34.90.3
30.530.8
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End3.4
Second
5160
#22
21.72.4
22.920.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End-0.2
red by 3.3
9296
#20
18.40.5
16.316.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Third
3336
#28
8.03.9
16.212.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8
red by 2.0
7671
#29
6.00.3
8.99.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed