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Red25
929728.6
591914.0
624011.5
Blue62
456141.9
874622.9
551116.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4477020601001202562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+27
Endgame+35
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +19
3Coral scored#5
10Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
10Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points2
25Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9297
#14
28.61.6
20.118.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
blue by 13.3
41.90.4
34.434.0
Auto8.5
Teleop27.0
End6.4
Second
5919
#26
14.00.9
15.214.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 8.9
8746
#11
22.90.4
16.215.8
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Third
6240
#24
11.50.9
3.72.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 5.1
16.60.4
15.415.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsEarned