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Red66
978916.9
600423.8
551116.6
Blue47
1035411.9
33368.0
264226.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5556204060806647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#6
36Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
44Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
66Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#10
23.80.5
21.221.7
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
blue by 3.1
26.80.9
21.520.6
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End1.0
Second
9789
#18
16.90.5
15.115.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End1.6
red by 5.0
11.91.6
12.310.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End2.7
Third
16.60.5
15.015.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
red by 8.6
3336
#28
8.01.6
12.310.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
4%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed