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Red28
830415.7
76716.0
929728.6
Blue56
900834.9
874622.9
482829.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378702060801001202856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +30
2Coral scored#7
7Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
7Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
14Foul points6
28Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9297
#14
28.62.8
18.615.8
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
blue by 6.2
34.91.6
29.127.5
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End3.4
Second
8304
#25
15.72.8
14.311.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End0.4
blue by 13.8
4828
#15
29.51.6
29.327.7
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Third
7671
#29
6.01.7
6.54.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 16.9
8746
#11
22.91.6
15.313.7
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed