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Red106
591914.0
482924.2
456141.9
Blue51
651215.7
373727.8
624011.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904702040608010012014010651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +48
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points27
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
18Processor points6
16Net points0
34Algae points6
81Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
106Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.8
33.335.1
Auto8.5
Teleop27.0
End6.4
red by 14.0
27.80.1
25.425.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.3
Second
4829
#16
24.21.8
25.227.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
red by 8.5
6512
#19
15.70.2
17.017.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Third
5919
#26
14.01.8
15.116.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 2.5
6240
#24
11.50.1
1.11.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed