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Red92
875817.2
453440.5
929618.4
Blue92
33368.0
264226.8
650037.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6583020401001201409292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
67Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points6
92Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.9
End3.0
red by 3.3
37.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
Second
9296
#20
18.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.2
End1.9
blue by 8.4
26.8
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End1.0
Third
8758
#21
17.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8
red by 9.2
3336
#28
8.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed