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Red39
874622.9
624221.1
1035411.9
Blue50
820519.1
551116.6
382222.4
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5553204060803950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+19
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
21Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
39Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8746
#11
22.90.5
15.815.3
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 0.6
22.40.1
17.917.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.2
Second
21.10.5
15.414.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End6.7
red by 2.0
8205
#27
19.10.1
14.514.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End1.1
Third
11.90.9
13.212.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End2.7
blue by 4.7
16.60.0
15.015.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed