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Red70
205941.0
519012.3
978916.9
Blue73
482924.2
651215.7
929728.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626802040801001201407073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
55Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
70Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#17
41.00.5
33.534.0
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
red by 12.4
9297
#14
28.60.0
18.618.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
Second
9789
#18
16.90.5
14.615.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End1.6
blue by 7.4
4829
#16
24.20.0
25.125.2
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Third
5190
#13
12.30.5
8.79.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End2.9
blue by 3.3
6512
#19
15.70.0
17.017.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned