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Red62
264226.8
600423.8
651215.7
Blue52
516021.7
820519.1
624011.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723802060801001201406252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+6Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
47Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
62Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.2
20.620.7
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End1.0
red by 5.1
5160
#22
21.71.0
19.420.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End-0.2
Second
6004
#10
23.80.2
21.721.9
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
red by 4.7
8205
#27
19.11.7
16.618.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End1.1
Third
6512
#19
15.70.3
17.217.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.0
End4.6
red by 4.1
6240
#24
11.51.0
1.12.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed