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Red111
551116.6
929728.6
650037.2
Blue82
875817.2
1007223.3
482829.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797005010015020025030011182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
73Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points4
111Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.22.0
31.533.4
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
red by 7.7
4828
#15
29.50.4
27.728.1
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
9297
#14
28.63.3
15.819.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
red by 5.3
23.30.4
17.618.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.2
End1.9
Third
16.62.0
15.417.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
blue by 0.7
8758
#21
17.20.4
11.111.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed