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Red71
456141.9
373727.8
453440.5
Blue55
205941.0
76716.0
624221.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1055501507155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
36Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points0
71Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.7
35.133.4
Auto8.5
Teleop27.0
End6.4
red by 0.9
2059
#17
41.00.1
33.633.7
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Second
40.52.8
29.526.7
Auto10.7
Teleop26.9
End3.0
red by 19.4
21.10.1
14.614.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End6.7
Third
27.81.7
25.523.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.3
red by 21.8
7671
#29
6.00.1
4.84.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed