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Red72
651215.7
875817.2
874622.9
Blue45
650037.2
516021.7
830415.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5482020401001201407245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+13Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +27
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
47Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
72Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8746
#11
22.91.0
15.416.4
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End1.2
blue by 14.3
37.21.6
33.431.8
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
Second
8758
#21
17.21.0
11.612.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8
blue by 4.5
5160
#22
21.71.6
20.418.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End-0.2
Third
6512
#19
15.71.7
17.519.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.0
End4.6
blue by 0.1
8304
#25
15.72.7
9.97.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed