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Red76
551116.6
205941.0
33368.0
Blue87
1007223.3
264226.8
482924.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7276607080907687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
56Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
76Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#17
41.00.3
33.734.0
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
red by 14.1
26.80.2
20.720.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End1.0
Second
16.60.3
17.417.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
blue by 7.6
4829
#16
24.20.2
27.827.9
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Third
3336
#28
8.00.4
12.012.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 15.3
23.30.2
18.018.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed