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Red95
373727.8
929728.6
382222.4
Blue99
600423.8
624221.1
453440.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76720501001502009599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+12
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
72Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
95Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9297
#14
28.62.2
19.021.3
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
blue by 11.9
40.53.1
26.729.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.9
End3.0
Second
27.81.3
23.925.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.3
red by 4.1
6004
#10
23.81.9
21.923.7
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Third
22.42.2
23.025.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.2
red by 1.2
21.11.9
14.816.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed