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Red48
820519.1
482829.5
929618.4
Blue64
519012.3
76716.0
456141.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69510204060801001201404864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#7
25Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
35Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
48Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4828
#15
29.50.9
28.127.2
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
blue by 12.4
41.90.9
33.434.4
Auto8.5
Teleop27.0
End6.4
Second
8205
#27
19.11.5
18.216.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End1.1
red by 6.8
5190
#13
12.30.9
11.812.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End2.9
Third
9296
#20
18.41.5
15.213.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.2
End1.9
red by 12.4
7671
#29
6.00.9
4.95.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned