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Red88
551116.6
900834.9
516021.7
Blue76
651215.7
591914.0
205941.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72822040601001208876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+24Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points21
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
73Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points2
88Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.5
29.731.1
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End3.4
blue by 6.1
2059
#17
41.00.3
34.034.2
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Second
5160
#22
21.71.5
18.720.2
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End-0.2
red by 6.1
6512
#19
15.70.5
19.219.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Third
16.61.5
17.619.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
red by 2.6
5919
#26
14.00.3
16.717.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned