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Red101
1007223.3
205941.0
1035411.9
Blue73
624011.5
519012.3
875817.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86380206010012014016010173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+38Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
79Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
101Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#17
41.01.2
34.235.5
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
red by 23.7
8758
#21
17.21.5
12.814.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8
Second
23.31.2
19.620.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.2
End1.9
red by 11.0
5190
#13
12.31.5
13.815.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End2.9
Third
11.92.1
11.613.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End2.7
red by 0.4
6240
#24
11.51.5
6.58.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsEarned