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Red114
482829.5
453440.5
264226.8
Blue47
551116.6
651215.7
929618.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9758015020011447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +36
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
58Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
36Foul points6
114Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.5
32.131.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.9
End3.0
red by 22.1
9296
#20
18.41.5
15.414.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Second
4828
#15
29.50.3
26.726.3
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
red by 12.9
16.60.9
19.118.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
26.80.3
24.023.7
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End1.0
red by 11.2
6512
#19
15.71.5
19.718.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed